Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#211
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#244
Pace64.6#250
Improvement+4.8#33

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#259
Improvement+8.0#1

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
Improvement-3.3#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 76   @ Marshall L 44-58 12%     0 - 1 -3.9 -21.7 +16.7
  Nov 15, 2011 33   @ Cincinnati L 59-73 7%     0 - 2 +0.1 -4.7 +4.5
  Nov 19, 2011 320   Alabama St. W 78-65 89%     1 - 2 -2.6 +1.1 -3.9
  Nov 25, 2011 226   @ Northwestern St. L 61-66 OT 40%     1 - 3 -5.0 -13.7 +9.1
  Nov 27, 2011 123   Weber St. L 61-69 29%     1 - 4 -4.9 -14.4 +9.5
  Dec 01, 2011 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 48-50 24%     1 - 5 +2.8 -20.2 +23.0
  Dec 10, 2011 316   Southern W 55-50 81%     2 - 5 -6.8 -18.3 +11.6
  Dec 11, 2011 186   @ Tulane L 51-59 33%     2 - 6 -5.9 -15.6 +9.3
  Dec 17, 2011 262   Eastern Kentucky L 53-59 75%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -15.4 -17.5 +1.0
  Dec 28, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-55 84%     3 - 7 +10.0 -3.8 +13.0
  Dec 29, 2011 72   Colorado St. L 56-79 19%     3 - 8 -16.2 -15.2 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2011 307   @ SIU Edwardsville L 61-66 65%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -11.5 -11.2 -0.7
  Jan 02, 2012 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 56-74 42%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -18.3 -23.1 +5.8
  Jan 05, 2012 203   Morehead St. L 55-63 61%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -13.4 -9.5 -5.5
  Jan 07, 2012 165   Tennessee St. W 72-65 53%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +3.7 -1.7 +5.3
  Jan 12, 2012 42   @ Murray St. L 55-66 9%     4 - 12 1 - 5 +1.7 -14.1 +16.4
  Jan 14, 2012 212   @ Austin Peay L 57-60 38%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -2.2 -5.2 +2.4
  Jan 19, 2012 180   @ Tennessee Tech W 63-62 31%     5 - 13 2 - 6 +3.6 -1.8 +5.5
  Jan 26, 2012 299   Eastern Illinois W 63-45 82%     6 - 13 3 - 6 +5.8 -5.7 +14.7
  Jan 28, 2012 307   SIU Edwardsville W 76-65 84%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -2.3 -3.7 +1.4
  Jan 30, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate L 77-82 48%     7 - 14 -7.0 +0.5 -7.2
  Feb 02, 2012 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 85-74 79%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -0.1 +12.5 -11.7
  Feb 04, 2012 180   Tennessee Tech L 68-76 57%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -12.2 -7.3 -5.0
  Feb 08, 2012 203   @ Morehead St. W 69-55 35%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +15.4 +14.0 +4.7
  Feb 14, 2012 165   @ Tennessee St. L 64-69 OT 28%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -1.5 -3.4 +1.7
  Feb 18, 2012 253   Presbyterian W 67-48 73%     10 - 16 +10.2 -0.4 +14.1
  Feb 23, 2012 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 69-59 67%     11 - 16 7 - 8 +2.9 -4.6 +8.3
  Feb 25, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 77-46 92%     12 - 16 8 - 8 +13.1 +0.9 +15.0
  Feb 29, 2012 212   Austin Peay W 75-70 51%     13 - 16 +2.4 +5.0 -2.3
  Mar 01, 2012 203   Morehead St. L 54-68 48%     13 - 17 -16.0 -9.3 -9.4
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%